Market Mood Index — VIX-Based Fear & Greed Score

Current Mood: Extreme Greed — Score 90/10 · VIX 14.74

Market Overview

The VIX is 14.74, placing volatility pricing at the 6th percentile of the past year. The U.S. Navy blockade has sharply reduced Iran's oil exports, as the Trump administration shifts to economic warfare. Energy inflation risk and a hawkish Fed are pressuring rate-sensitive stocks and rewarding defensives with pricing power.

Sector Pulse

Energy leads all sectors year-to-date at +39.6%, reflecting the impact of U.S. sanctions and military action against Iran that have disrupted oil flows. Materials (+18.3%) and Health Care (+12.1%) are also outperforming, consistent with the macro regime of elevated inflation and a hawkish Fed. Rate-sensitive sectors like Utilities (+1.9%) are lagging, as higher Treasury yields pressure their valuations. The sector pattern aligns with today's news on energy supply disruptions and persistent inflation.

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