TSLA Stock Analysis — Tesla, Inc.
Sector: Automotive/EV
AI Verdict
You're paying a huge premium for an 88.9% earnings growth narrative—the moat is real, but at 174.4x forward earnings, the numbers demand near-flawless execution.
Competitive Moat
Tesla combines proprietary EV manufacturing scale with a tightly integrated software stack for battery management, autonomous driving, and over-the-air updates. Its Supercharger network and real-world driving data create switching costs and a data advantage in autonomous vehicle AI.
Summary
Tesla's valuation is anchored to expectations of nearly doubling earnings next year despite a recent -19.26% one-year return.
Where It Stands
Tesla trades at 174.4x next year's earnings—nearly 7x the auto sector norm—while its RSI of 48.2 signals neutral momentum and the stock has fallen -19.26% over the last year.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 48.2 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 329.5x
- Earnings yield (trailing): 0.30% — What is earnings yield?
- Forward P/E: 174.4x
- PEG Ratio: 3.71
- Earnings Growth: +0.9%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Market Cap: $1.18T
- 1-Year Return: -19.26%
- 52-Week High: $498.83
- 52-Week Low: $297.38
Learn About More Stock Metrics
- Beta: Learn more
- Return on Equity (ROE): Learn more
- EV/EBITDA: Learn more
Analyst Consensus
30 Buy · 25 Hold · 6 Sell (61 analysts) · Target $274.00
Bull Case
Analysts expect 88.9% forward EPS growth, so if Tesla delivers, the current 174.4x forward P/E could compress quickly as earnings catch up.
Bear Case
If the 174.4x forward P/E reverts even halfway toward the sector median, the stock could lose over 50% from current levels absent massive upside surprises.
Catalyst to Watch
Quarterly delivery numbers and updates on FSD (Full Self-Driving) progress will determine if Tesla can justify extreme growth assumptions.