ACI Stock Analysis — Albertsons Companies
Sector: Retail
AI Verdict
You're paying a rock-bottom price for explosive growth, but if Albertsons' market share or profit rebound proves unsustainable, the numbers could snap back hard.
Competitive Moat
Albertsons operates a network of supermarkets with entrenched local market share, leveraging scale for supply chain efficiency and private label penetration. Its defensibility comes from established store locations and customer loyalty in regional markets, which are hard for new entrants to replicate quickly.
Summary
A massive jump in expected earnings has slashed the forward P/E to single digits, making ACI a statistical outlier in grocery retail.
Where It Stands
Albertsons trades at 7.1x next year's earnings, a deep discount to the consumer staples median of 20x, with analysts forecasting a 406.8% EPS surge.
Key Metrics
- Trailing P/E: 36.2x
- Forward P/E: 7.1x
- PEG Ratio: 0.09
- Earnings Growth: +4.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Dividend Yield: 0.04%
- 52-Week High: $22.78
- 52-Week Low: $15.80
Analyst Consensus
17 Buy · 7 Hold · 2 Sell (26 analysts)
Bull Case
A 406.8% forward EPS growth rate means you're paying just 7.1x for next year's earnings, which is cheap for the growth on offer if the supermarket moat holds.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts even halfway to the sector median of 20x without the expected EPS materializing, the stock could see a sharp correction.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings — any miss on that 406.8% EPS growth expectation could break the low P/E narrative.