AMCR Stock Analysis — Amcor
Sector: Packaging
AI Verdict
Amcor trades at 8.8x next year's earnings with sky-high 213.5% EPS growth expected—this is cheap for the growth on offer, but the moat relies on sticky contracts and scale, so if the rebound falters, the low valuation won't hold.
Competitive Moat
Amcor specializes in rigid and flexible packaging for food, beverage, healthcare, and personal care, with a global manufacturing footprint that gives it scale and supply chain resilience. Its long-term contracts with large consumer goods companies and expertise in sustainable packaging create switching costs that protect margins.
Summary
Amcor's forward P/E of 8.8x and projected 213.5% EPS growth signal a dramatic earnings rebound is priced in.
Where It Stands
The stock is down -12.43% over the past year, trades at 27.5x trailing earnings (above the 20x sector median for consumer staples), but forward P/E drops to 8.8x on consensus forecasts, while RSI at 43.8 suggests shares are cooling after recent weakness.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 43.8 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 27.5x
- Forward P/E: 8.8x
- PEG Ratio: 0.13
- Earnings Growth: +2.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.4%
- Market Cap: $18.4B
- Dividend Yield: 0.07%
- 1-Year Return: -12.43%
- 52-Week High: $50.94
- 52-Week Low: $36.67
Analyst Consensus
13 Buy · 4 Hold · 0 Sell (17 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts expecting 213.5% EPS growth and a forward P/E of just 8.8x, the stock looks cheap for the growth that's forecast if Amcor delivers on its turnaround.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts to the sector median of 20x without the expected EPS surge, shares could face further downside, especially since the 43.8 RSI doesn't signal a clear bottom yet.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for upcoming earnings reports to confirm whether the 213.5% EPS growth materializes, as any miss could trigger a sharp rerating.