AMCR Stock Analysis — Amcor
Sector: Packaging
AI Verdict
Amcor trades at 9.4x next year's earnings while analysts expect a massive profit surge—this is cheap for the growth on offer, but the moat is only moderate, so execution risk is real.
Competitive Moat
Amcor specializes in flexible and rigid packaging for food, beverage, healthcare, and personal care, with a global manufacturing footprint that creates scale advantages and sticky customer relationships. Its moat comes from deep integration with multinational clients and regulatory expertise in packaging compliance, making it hard for smaller competitors to displace.
Summary
Amcor's forward P/E of 9.4x and forecasted 206.4% EPS growth make it a rare value outlier in packaging.
Where It Stands
Shares have dropped -14.56% over the past year, but the RSI at 52.8 signals a neutral setup and the stock trades at 9.4x next year's earnings, well below the sector median of 20x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 52.8 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 28.9x
- Forward P/E: 9.4x
- PEG Ratio: 0.14
- Earnings Growth: +2.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.6%
- Market Cap: $19.4B
- Dividend Yield: 0.06%
- 1-Year Return: -14.56%
- 52-Week High: $50.94
- 52-Week Low: $36.25
Analyst Consensus
14 Buy · 4 Hold · 0 Sell (18 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts projecting 206.4% EPS growth and a forward P/E of just 9.4x, you're paying a bargain price for a huge earnings rebound.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts even halfway to the sector median (from 9.4x to 15x), the stock could see a sharp re-rating if the earnings rebound doesn't materialize.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for the next earnings report to confirm whether the 206.4% EPS growth is tracking, as any disappointment could unwind the value thesis.