AMCR Stock Analysis — Amcor
Sector: Packaging
AI Verdict
Amcor trades at 10.4x next year’s earnings while the market expects a huge profit rebound, so you’re getting a bargain price if the moat holds and the turnaround materializes.
Competitive Moat
Amcor manufactures flexible and rigid packaging for food, beverage, healthcare, and personal care, with a global footprint that gives it scale advantages in procurement and distribution. Its entrenched relationships with multinational consumer brands and high switching costs in regulated industries make its contracts sticky.
Summary
A sharp 205.1% jump in forward EPS growth is driving a dramatic drop in forward P/E to 10.4x, putting Amcor on deep value watch.
Where It Stands
Shares returned 5.23% over the past year, RSI sits at a neutral 54.5, and the stock trades at 10.4x forward earnings versus a sector median of 20x, with a trailing P/E of 31.8x reflecting last year’s weaker profits.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 54.5 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 31.8x
- Forward P/E: 10.4x
- PEG Ratio: 0.15
- Earnings Growth: +2.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.6%
- Market Cap: $21.3B
- Dividend Yield: 0.06%
- 1-Year Return: 5.23%
- 52-Week High: $50.94
- 52-Week Low: $36.25
Analyst Consensus
14 Buy · 5 Hold · 0 Sell (19 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts forecasting 205.1% EPS growth and a forward P/E of just 10.4x, the stock is cheap for the earnings rebound expected.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts to the trailing 31.8x multiple due to a miss on earnings, the stock could see a 67% valuation hit from current expectations.
Catalyst to Watch
Next earnings report—confirmation or disappointment on the 205.1% EPS growth target will drive the next move.