AMG Stock Analysis — Affiliated Managers Group
Sector: Financials
AI Verdict
AMG is cheap for the growth you're getting, but the model's reliance on continued outperformance from its affiliates means the low multiple only pays off if that growth materializes.
Competitive Moat
AMG operates as an asset manager aggregator, taking equity stakes in boutique investment firms while letting them retain operational independence. This model creates a moat by aligning incentives with top-performing managers and diversifying earnings across asset classes and strategies.
Summary
The stock is notable for its sharp drop to a 9.4x forward P/E while analysts expect nearly 37% EPS growth next year.
Where It Stands
AMG trades at 9.4x next year's earnings versus a sector median of 14x, with trailing EPS growth of 36.9% and a PEG ratio of 0.35 signaling the growth more than justifies the multiple.
Key Metrics
- Trailing P/E: 12.9x
- Forward P/E: 9.4x
- PEG Ratio: 0.35
- Earnings Growth: +0.4%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Dividend Yield: 0.00%
- 52-Week High: $392.92
- 52-Week Low: $229.65
Analyst Consensus
9 Buy · 1 Hold · 0 Sell (10 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts forecasting 36.9% EPS growth and the stock at a steep discount to the sector on 9.4x forward P/E, the setup offers cheap exposure to earnings acceleration.
Bear Case
If AMG's forward P/E rerates up to the sector median of 14x, the upside is clear, but if growth disappoints and it falls back to its trailing 12.9x, that's a 27% downside from current expectations.
Catalyst to Watch
Quarterly earnings and manager performance updates will show if AMG's boutique affiliates are delivering the forecasted earnings jump.