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AON Stock Analysis — Aon plc

Sector: Financials

AI Verdict

Aon is cheap relative to its own history and deeply oversold on RSI, but you’re still paying a premium to sector norms for mid-single-digit growth that relies on its consulting moat staying intact.

Competitive Moat

Aon is a global insurance brokerage and risk consulting firm with sticky client relationships due to its scale, data analytics capabilities, and integration into clients’ risk management processes. Its consulting and reinsurance arms create switching costs and recurring revenue streams that are hard for smaller competitors to replicate.

Summary

Aon's RSI of 20.5 signals extreme oversold territory, making it a technical outlier among large-cap financials.

Where It Stands

Shares are down -3.05% over the past year, trade at 18.0x next year's earnings (vs. financials median 14x), and sit at an RSI of 20.5, suggesting deep oversold conditions despite a premium multiple.

Key Metrics

Analyst Consensus

18 Buy · 9 Hold · 2 Sell (29 analysts)

Bull Case

Aon trades at 18.0x forward earnings with analysts expecting 9.1% EPS growth, which is a reasonable price if its client retention and consulting moat drive steady profit expansion.

Bear Case

If the P/E multiple falls from 18.0x to the sector median of 14x, the stock would lose roughly 22% even if earnings meet expectations.

Catalyst to Watch

Watch for upcoming earnings or client win announcements—upside surprise on margins or retention could justify the current premium.

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