AVY Stock Analysis — Avery Dennison
Sector: Industrials
AI Verdict
Avery Dennison trades at 16.4x next year's earnings with 14.6% expected EPS growth—cheap for the sector if its supply chain moat keeps customer churn low, but the muted 1.1% revenue growth means the value case relies on execution, not a growth narrative.
Competitive Moat
Avery Dennison dominates in pressure-sensitive materials and labeling solutions, with scale advantages in global distribution and proprietary adhesive technologies that make it a default supplier for large CPG and logistics firms. Its deep integration into customer supply chains creates high switching costs and recurring demand.
Summary
Avery Dennison is notable for its entrenched role in global supply chains for labeling and packaging, offering stability despite muted recent returns.
Where It Stands
The stock is down -3.07% over the past year, trades at 16.4x forward earnings versus the industrials median of 20x, and its RSI of 47.0 signals cooling momentum but not oversold conditions.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 47 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 18.8x
- Forward P/E: 16.4x
- PEG Ratio: 1.31
- Earnings Growth: +0.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Market Cap: $12.7B
- 1-Year Return: -3.07%
Bull Case
With analysts expecting 14.6% EPS growth and a forward P/E of 16.4x, investors are paying less than the sector median for above-average earnings growth.
Bear Case
If the P/E reverts to the sector median of 20x, there is limited upside, but if sentiment turns and the multiple compresses to 15x, shares could lose another 9% from here.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for large contract renewals or new product launches—either could accelerate EPS growth beyond the current 14.6% consensus.