BALL Stock Analysis — Ball Corporation
Sector: Industrials
AI Verdict
Ball trades cheap for the growth you're getting, and the moat from scale and customer lock-in makes the earnings outlook more credible than most industrials.
Competitive Moat
Ball Corporation dominates the aluminum packaging market, especially for beverage cans, thanks to its global manufacturing scale and long-term supply contracts with major drink brands. This scale advantage creates high switching costs for customers and deters new entrants due to capital intensity.
Summary
RSI at 30.0 signals Ball is oversold as it trades at 13.0x next year's earnings with double-digit EPS growth expected.
Where It Stands
Ball has a 1-year return of -1.18%, an oversold RSI of 30.0, and trades at 13.0x forward earnings versus the industrials sector median of 20x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 30 — Near Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 15.3x
- Forward P/E: 13.0x
- PEG Ratio: 0.80
- Earnings Growth: +0.2%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Market Cap: $14.0B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: -1.18%
- 52-Week High: $68.29
- 52-Week Low: $44.83
Analyst Consensus
18 Buy · 4 Hold · 0 Sell (22 analysts)
Bull Case
Forward EPS growth of 17.5% paired with a 13.0x forward P/E means you're paying a low price for above-average earnings growth.
Bear Case
If the P/E multiple falls from 13.0x to 11x (a 15% drop), shares could lose another 15% even if earnings meet expectations.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for contract renewals or new long-term supply deals, as these directly impact Ball's volume stability and pricing power.