BALL Stock Analysis — Ball Corporation
Sector: Industrials
AI Verdict
Ball is cheap for the growth you're getting, and its entrenched position with global beverage giants makes the earnings ramp credible rather than speculative.
Competitive Moat
Ball Corporation dominates the aluminum packaging market for beverages, benefiting from long-term contracts with global drink brands and high switching costs due to specialized manufacturing lines. Its scale and recycling infrastructure create barriers for new entrants, protecting margins even in commodity cycles.
Summary
Ball trades at just 14.3x next year's earnings with analysts forecasting 22.8% EPS growth, making it one of the cheaper industrials for its expected profit jump.
Where It Stands
The stock is up 4.97% over the past year, sits at a neutral RSI of 47.2, and trades at 14.3x forward earnings versus the industrial sector median of 20x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 47.2 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 17.5x
- Forward P/E: 14.3x
- PEG Ratio: 0.71
- Earnings Growth: +0.2%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Market Cap: $16.1B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: 4.97%
- 52-Week High: $68.29
- 52-Week Low: $44.83
Analyst Consensus
18 Buy · 4 Hold · 0 Sell (22 analysts)
Bull Case
Forward P/E of 14.3x for 22.8% expected EPS growth means you're paying a low price for above-average profit acceleration.
Bear Case
If the multiple reverts to the sector median of 20x only after growth slows, the current 17.5x trailing P/E could compress further if future earnings disappoint.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for contract renewals or new wins with major beverage brands, as these directly impact volume commitments and pricing power.