BX Stock Analysis — Blackstone
Sector: Financials
AI Verdict
Blackstone trades at 18.1x next year's earnings while the market expects a 72.0% EPS surge — that's cheap for the growth on offer if its scale-driven moat holds, but the stock is pricing in a sharp rebound that leaves little room for disappointment.
Competitive Moat
Blackstone is the world’s largest alternative asset manager, with a scale advantage that attracts institutional capital and gives it access to exclusive private equity, real estate, and credit deals. Its long-term locked-up capital and deep client relationships create switching costs and recurring fee streams that are hard for smaller rivals to match.
Summary
Blackstone is trading at a sharp discount to its trailing P/E as analysts expect a massive earnings rebound.
Where It Stands
BX is down -24.96% over the past year, trades at 18.1x next year's earnings versus the financial sector median of 14x, and its RSI of 47.3 signals a cooling period after recent declines.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 47.3 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 31.2x
- Forward P/E: 18.1x
- PEG Ratio: 0.43
- Earnings Growth: +0.7%
- Revenue Growth: +0.2%
- Market Cap: $144.3B
- Dividend Yield: 0.02%
- 1-Year Return: -24.96%
- 52-Week High: $190.09
- 52-Week Low: $101.73
Analyst Consensus
22 Buy · 11 Hold · 0 Sell (33 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts projecting 72.0% EPS growth and a forward P/E of 18.1x, you're paying a modest premium for a huge earnings jump if management delivers.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts to the sector median of 14x, shares could see another 23% downside even if earnings meet expectations.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly fund inflows and realized performance fees — a miss on either could undermine the 72.0% EPS growth narrative.