CARR Stock Analysis — Carrier Global
Sector: Industrials
AI Verdict
Carrier trades at 19.8x next year's earnings with a forecasted 103.6% EPS jump, so this is cheap for the growth on offer if their entrenched HVAC business delivers, but any stumble could see the premium evaporate fast.
Competitive Moat
Carrier Global dominates HVAC and refrigeration with a vast installed base, making it hard for competitors to displace them due to high switching costs and entrenched service contracts. Their scale allows them to invest in energy-efficient technologies that smaller rivals can't easily match.
Summary
Carrier's stock is flashing extremely oversold signals with an RSI of 11.5, while earnings are expected to more than double next year.
Where It Stands
Carrier is down -10.71% over the past year, trades at 19.8x next year's earnings (below the industrials median of 20x), and its RSI of 11.5 is deep in oversold territory.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 11.5 — Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 40.4x
- Forward P/E: 19.8x
- PEG Ratio: 0.39
- Earnings Growth: +1.0%
- Revenue Growth: -0.0%
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: -10.71%
- 52-Week High: $76.76
- 52-Week Low: $50.24
Analyst Consensus
20 Buy · 11 Hold · 0 Sell (31 analysts) · Target $77.67
Bull Case
With analysts forecasting 103.6% EPS growth and the forward P/E at 19.8x, you're paying a below-average price for a rare earnings surge if the moat holds.
Bear Case
If the P/E reverts to the sector median of 20x but earnings disappoint, the current 40.4x trailing P/E leaves room for a painful de-rating, especially if the RSI snapback is just a dead cat bounce.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for the next earnings report — if EPS growth even comes close to 100%, the stock could re-rate quickly from oversold levels.