CHD Stock Analysis — Church & Dwight
Sector: Consumer staples
AI Verdict
Church & Dwight trades at 25.0x next year's earnings for 30.5% growth, which is cheap for a consumer staples stock if their brand-driven moat delivers, but the price leaves little room for disappointment.
Competitive Moat
Church & Dwight owns a portfolio of sticky household brands like Arm & Hammer and OxiClean, which command shelf space and consumer loyalty in supermarkets. Their defensibility comes from brand recognition and habitual consumer purchase patterns, making it hard for new entrants to displace them.
Summary
A 25.0x forward P/E and 30.5% expected EPS growth put Church & Dwight on watch for a rare acceleration in a slow-growth staples sector.
Where It Stands
The stock is up 8.06% over the past year, trades at 25.0x next year's earnings (above the sector median of 20x), and its RSI of 67.4 signals elevated risk of a near-term pullback.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 67.4 — Near Overbought
- Trailing P/E: 32.6x
- Forward P/E: 25.0x
- PEG Ratio: 1.02
- Earnings Growth: +0.3%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Market Cap: $24.0B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: 8.06%
- 52-Week High: $106.04
- 52-Week Low: $81.33
Analyst Consensus
13 Buy · 11 Hold · 2 Sell (26 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts forecasting 30.5% EPS growth and a forward P/E of 25.0x, you're paying a fair multiple for unusually strong growth if the brand moat holds.
Bear Case
If the P/E compresses from 25.0x to the sector median of 20x, that would mean a 20% drop even if earnings meet expectations, and the RSI of 67.4 suggests the stock is already stretched.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings to confirm whether the 30.5% EPS growth materializes — a miss could trigger both multiple compression and a technical pullback.