CHRD Stock Analysis — Chord Energy
Sector: Energy
AI Verdict
CHRD trades at 9.3x next year's earnings on the promise of 1761.3% EPS growth—this is cheap for the growth you're getting if operational execution in the Williston Basin holds, but any stumble would leave little margin for error.
Competitive Moat
Chord Energy operates in the Williston Basin, where its scale and established infrastructure lower extraction costs compared to smaller drillers. Its defensibility comes from concentrated acreage and operational efficiency in a region with high barriers to entry.
Summary
CHRD is drawing attention for an analyst-projected 1761.3% EPS surge next year, which would radically reset its valuation.
Where It Stands
Despite a trailing P/E of 174.0x that looks extreme against the energy sector median of 12x, the forward P/E drops to 9.3x if analysts' 1761.3% EPS growth materializes.
Key Metrics
- Trailing P/E: 174.0x
- Forward P/E: 9.3x
- PEG Ratio: 0.10
- Earnings Growth: +17.6%
- Revenue Growth: -0.1%
- Dividend Yield: 0.04%
- 52-Week High: $150.50
- 52-Week Low: $84.25
Analyst Consensus
21 Buy · 4 Hold · 0 Sell (25 analysts)
Bull Case
If CHRD delivers on the 1761.3% EPS growth forecast, the current 9.3x forward P/E would be a bargain relative to the sector and its own history.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts to the sector median of 12x without the promised earnings surge, the stock could see a meaningful de-rating and price drop.
Catalyst to Watch
Next quarterly earnings are critical—any sign that triple-digit EPS growth is slipping could trigger a sharp P/E reset.