CHRW Stock Analysis — C.H. Robinson Worldwide
Sector: Logistics
AI Verdict
At 26.7x forward earnings for 43.9% growth, this is cheap for the rebound on offer if the logistics network advantage translates to real profit, but any stumble could mean a sharp pullback.
Competitive Moat
C.H. Robinson operates a vast third-party logistics network, connecting shippers and carriers at scale with proprietary freight-matching technology. Its defensibility comes from deep carrier relationships and a data-rich platform that enables efficient pricing and routing, making it hard for smaller rivals to match their breadth or cost structure.
Summary
A 43.9% jump in expected earnings is driving attention as the stock rerates off a 93.67% one-year run.
Where It Stands
Shares are up 93.67% over the past year, trade at 26.7x forward earnings (above the industrials median of 20x), and an RSI of 44.9 signals the stock is cooling after its huge run.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 44.9 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 38.4x
- Forward P/E: 26.7x
- PEG Ratio: 0.88
- Earnings Growth: +0.4%
- Revenue Growth: -0.1%
- Market Cap: $22.4B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: 93.67%
- 52-Week High: $203.34
- 52-Week Low: $96.27
Analyst Consensus
22 Buy · 8 Hold · 1 Sell (31 analysts)
Bull Case
You're paying 26.7x next year's earnings for 43.9% forward EPS growth, which is cheap for this kind of rebound if the network moat holds.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E compresses even to the sector median of 20x, that's a 25% downside from here, especially with revenue still shrinking by 6.7% year-on-year.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings updates — if margin expansion and EPS growth materialize as forecast, the premium holds; if not, rerating risk is high.