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CNX Stock Analysis — CNX Resources

Sector: Energy

AI Verdict

At 12.2x forward earnings with a -33.9% EPS outlook, you’re paying a premium the numbers don’t yet support unless CNX’s cost advantages can cushion the expected earnings drop.

Competitive Moat

CNX Resources is a natural gas producer with a cost advantage due to its concentrated Appalachian basin assets and integrated midstream infrastructure. This geographic and operational focus helps insulate margins against commodity price swings compared to more diversified peers.

Summary

Earnings are expected to drop sharply next year, with forward EPS growth at -33.9%.

Where It Stands

CNX trades at 12.2x next year's earnings, which is a premium to the 12x sector median for energy, while analysts expect EPS to fall -33.9%.

Key Metrics

Analyst Consensus

1 Buy · 9 Hold · 10 Sell (20 analysts)

Bull Case

The trailing P/E of 8.1x is below the sector median, suggesting the market is not pricing in last year’s 45.2% revenue growth.

Bear Case

If the forward P/E of 12.2x reverts to the sector median of 12x as earnings fall, the stock could see further downside as the market digests a -33.9% earnings contraction.

Catalyst to Watch

Watch for quarterly earnings updates—any sign that the -33.9% EPS decline is less severe could support the valuation.

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