DG Stock Analysis — Dollar General
Sector: Retail
AI Verdict
Dollar General trades at a discount to retail peers at 16.6x forward earnings, but with just 4.9% EPS growth expected, you're paying a fair price for a safe, slow-grower with a moat that limits upside surprises.
Competitive Moat
Dollar General dominates rural discount retail with a dense store network, making it the go-to option in underserved areas where big-box competitors rarely operate. Its scale and real estate strategy create high barriers to entry and defensible local monopolies in many small towns.
Summary
Dollar General is notable for its rural store saturation, which insulates it from direct competition and underpins steady earnings.
Where It Stands
Dollar General has returned 7.48% over the past year, trades at 16.6x next year's earnings (below the retail sector median of 20x), and its RSI of 50.1 signals a neutral technical setup.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 50.1 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 17.4x
- Forward P/E: 16.6x
- PEG Ratio: 4.41
- Earnings Growth: +0.0%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Market Cap: $27.2B
- Dividend Yield: 0.02%
- 1-Year Return: 7.48%
- 52-Week High: $158.23
- 52-Week Low: $95.11
Analyst Consensus
18 Buy · 21 Hold · 1 Sell (40 analysts)
Bull Case
With a forward P/E of 16.6x and expected EPS growth of 4.9%, you're paying less than the sector median for a business with entrenched rural dominance.
Bear Case
The trailing PEG ratio of 4.41 means you're paying a steep premium for slow growth, and if the P/E compresses to 14x (sector median for financials, not retail), the stock could drop over 15%.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings updates—any acceleration or slowdown in EPS growth versus the 4.9% consensus will likely drive a rerating.