EFX Stock Analysis — Equifax
Sector: Financial Data
AI Verdict
At 16.2x next year's earnings and with a moat built on irreplaceable credit data, this is cheap for the growth you're getting if the rebound materializes, but any miss could see the premium vanish quickly.
Competitive Moat
Equifax operates one of the three dominant consumer credit bureaus in the US, giving it privileged access to vast, hard-to-replicate credit data on individuals and businesses. This data network creates high switching costs for lenders and institutions who rely on its credit histories and analytics.
Summary
A sharp drop in share price and a forward P/E reset make Equifax's expected earnings rebound the key debate.
Where It Stands
Shares are down -37.12% over the past year, the RSI sits at a neutral 50.0, and the stock trades at 16.2x forward earnings versus the financial sector median of 14x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 50 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 29.4x
- Forward P/E: 16.2x
- PEG Ratio: 0.34
- Earnings Growth: +0.8%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Market Cap: $19.9B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: -37.12%
- 52-Week High: $275.91
- 52-Week Low: $150.75
Analyst Consensus
20 Buy · 10 Hold · 0 Sell (30 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts projecting 81.1% EPS growth next year, you're paying just 16.2x forward earnings for a business with entrenched data advantages.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E multiple reverts to the sector median of 14x, that's a 14% downside from here even if earnings hit targets.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings surprises or regulatory updates that could impact data access or credit reporting volumes.