EXC Stock Analysis — Exelon
Sector: Utilities
AI Verdict
Exelon trades at 15.8x next year's earnings—cheap for a utility with 10.2% growth expected, and the regulated monopoly moat makes that growth target more credible than most.
Competitive Moat
Exelon operates regulated electric and gas utilities across several major U.S. cities, benefiting from geographic monopolies and guaranteed returns set by public utility commissions. This regulatory framework creates high barriers to entry and stable cash flows that are difficult for competitors to disrupt.
Summary
Exelon is trading at 15.8x next year's earnings with a 10.2% EPS growth forecast, making it a rare utility showing double-digit profit growth.
Where It Stands
The stock has returned 10.63% over the past year, sports a neutral RSI of 59.0, and trades at 15.8x forward earnings versus the utility sector median of 18x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 59 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 17.4x
- Forward P/E: 15.8x
- PEG Ratio: 1.61
- Earnings Growth: +0.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Market Cap: $48.7B
- Dividend Yield: 0.04%
- 1-Year Return: 10.63%
- 52-Week High: $50.65
- 52-Week Low: $42.47
Analyst Consensus
7 Buy · 18 Hold · 2 Sell (27 analysts)
Bull Case
With forward EPS growth expected at 10.2% and a forward P/E of 15.8x, you're paying less than the sector median for above-average earnings momentum.
Bear Case
If the P/E multiple slips from 15.8x to the sector's low end (around 14x), that would mean a roughly 11% downside even before considering any earnings miss.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for upcoming regulatory rate case outcomes—approval of higher allowed returns would directly boost earnings and support the current multiple.