EXPD Stock Analysis — Expeditors International
Sector: Logistics
AI Verdict
Expeditors trades at 24.2x next year's earnings for 11.7% growth, so you're paying up for a logistics moat that looks solid but not cheap, especially with momentum stretched at a 71.2 RSI.
Competitive Moat
Expeditors International runs a global freight forwarding and logistics network with deep relationships across airlines, ocean carriers, and customs brokers, making it hard for new entrants to replicate its scale and reliability. Its asset-light model and proprietary IT systems create switching costs for large enterprise customers who rely on seamless, integrated supply chain solutions.
Summary
Expeditors is notable right now for its 55.28% 1-year return and an RSI of 71.2, signaling momentum but also overbought territory.
Where It Stands
The stock trades at 24.2x next year's earnings versus the 20x industrials median, with an RSI of 71.2 and a 55.28% 1-year return, so it's running hot and priced above peers.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 71.2 — Overbought
- Trailing P/E: 27.1x
- Forward P/E: 24.2x
- PEG Ratio: 2.21
- Earnings Growth: +0.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Market Cap: $24.2B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: 55.28%
- 52-Week High: $187.74
- 52-Week Low: $112.95
Analyst Consensus
2 Buy · 12 Hold · 8 Sell (22 analysts)
Bull Case
Forward EPS is expected to grow 11.7% while the forward P/E of 24.2x is only modestly above the sector, suggesting investors are paying a premium for steady double-digit earnings growth.
Bear Case
With a trailing PEG of 2.21 and an RSI of 71.2, a pullback to a sector-median P/E of 20x would mean a 17% downside from here if growth expectations slip.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings surprises or large contract wins, as either could justify the current premium or trigger a re-rating.