KEY Stock Analysis — KeyCorp
Sector: Financials
AI Verdict
KeyCorp trades at 11.2x next year's earnings while analysts expect +14.6% EPS growth—cheap for the growth on offer, but the moat relies on regional banking stability, so any credit shock could erase the discount.
Competitive Moat
KeyCorp operates as a regional bank with a diversified loan portfolio and a strong presence in the Midwest and Northeast, giving it sticky local relationships and lower funding costs. Its defensibility comes from entrenched branch networks and long-standing business banking ties that are hard for new entrants to replicate.
Summary
KeyCorp's forward P/E of 11.2x with 14.6% expected EPS growth puts it in focus as a value play among regional banks.
Where It Stands
Shares are up 21.76% over the past year, RSI is 41.3 (cooling), and the stock trades at 11.2x forward earnings versus a sector median of 14x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 41.3 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 12.9x
- Forward P/E: 11.2x
- PEG Ratio: 0.69
- Earnings Growth: +0.1%
- Revenue Growth: +0.6%
- Market Cap: $23.6B
- Dividend Yield: 0.07%
- 1-Year Return: 21.76%
- 52-Week High: $24.07
- 52-Week Low: $16.47
Analyst Consensus
14 Buy · 10 Hold · 0 Sell (24 analysts)
Bull Case
With 14.6% forward EPS growth expected and a forward P/E of just 11.2x, you're getting growth at a discount to the sector.
Bear Case
If the P/E reverts to the sector median of 14x, upside is limited, but if earnings disappoint and the multiple compresses to 10x, shares could drop by roughly 11%.
Catalyst to Watch
Quarterly credit quality updates—any spike in loan losses or deposit outflows could quickly undermine the growth narrative.