LII Stock Analysis — Lennox International
Sector: Industrials
AI Verdict
At 16.5x forward earnings with 7.8% growth expected and a service-driven moat, Lennox looks cheap for the sector, but the market is demanding proof of a turnaround after weak returns and shrinking sales.
Competitive Moat
Lennox International manufactures and services HVAC systems, with a defensible position built on its extensive dealer network and long-term service contracts that create switching costs for commercial and residential customers. Its moat relies on brand trust and embedded relationships in the fragmented HVAC installation and maintenance market.
Summary
Lennox is notable right now for its oversold RSI of 34.4 after a -31.94% one-year return, putting it at a technical inflection point.
Where It Stands
Shares trade at 16.5x next year's earnings, below the industrials sector median of 20x, with a 7.8% forward EPS growth forecast and an RSI of 34.4 signaling oversold conditions.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 34.4 — Near Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 17.8x
- Forward P/E: 16.5x
- PEG Ratio: 2.06
- Earnings Growth: +0.1%
- Revenue Growth: -0.0%
- Market Cap: $13.9B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: -31.94%
- 52-Week High: $615.75
- 52-Week Low: $404.19
Analyst Consensus
9 Buy · 12 Hold · 2 Sell (23 analysts)
Bull Case
The forward P/E of 16.5x is a discount to the sector median, offering 7.8% expected EPS growth while the stock is technically oversold at an RSI of 34.4.
Bear Case
If the P/E multiple falls from 16.5x to the sector's trough levels (around 14x), shares could lose another 15%, especially with trailing revenue down -2.1%.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings or HVAC demand updates—any improvement in revenue growth above -2.1% could trigger a re-rating.