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LKQ Stock Analysis — LKQ Corporation

Sector: Industrials

AI Verdict

LKQ trades cheap for the growth you're getting, but the market is skeptical that the 51.6% EPS jump will materialize given weak revenue momentum and a structurally low multiple.

Competitive Moat

LKQ operates one of the largest networks for alternative and recycled auto parts, giving it scale advantages in sourcing, logistics, and distribution. Its broad inventory and established relationships with insurers and repair shops create switching costs that protect market share.

Summary

LKQ is trading at just 8.3x next year's earnings while analysts expect a 51.6% jump in EPS.

Where It Stands

With a forward P/E of 8.3x versus the industrials sector median of 20x and a trailing PEG of 0.22, LKQ is priced well below peers despite high expected growth.

Key Metrics

Analyst Consensus

11 Buy · 4 Hold · 0 Sell (15 analysts)

Bull Case

Forward EPS growth of 51.6% paired with a forward P/E of 8.3x means you're paying a low price for rapid earnings expansion.

Bear Case

If the P/E reverts to the sector median of 20x only because growth stalls, the current discount could disappear fast, especially with trailing revenue down 1.4%.

Catalyst to Watch

Watch for quarterly earnings — any sign that EPS growth falls short of the 51.6% target could force a rerating.

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