M Stock Analysis — Macy's
Sector: Retail
AI Verdict
You’re paying a low price for Macy’s, but with earnings expected to shrink by nearly a quarter, the cheap multiple reflects real risk to the business model.
Competitive Moat
Macy's operates a network of department stores with prime mall locations and a nationally recognized brand, giving it scale and vendor relationships smaller retailers can't match. However, its moat is eroding as online competitors and off-price retailers chip away at traditional department store traffic.
Summary
Macy's is notable for its deep value P/E but faces sharply negative earnings forecasts.
Where It Stands
Macy's trades at 11.0x next year's earnings, well below the retail sector median of 20x, but analysts expect EPS to fall by -22.9% over the next year.
Key Metrics
- Trailing P/E: 8.5x
- Forward P/E: 11.0x
- Earnings Growth: -0.2%
- Revenue Growth: -0.0%
- Dividend Yield: 0.04%
- 52-Week High: $26.59
- 52-Week Low: $16.41
Analyst Consensus
8 Buy · 10 Hold · 2 Sell (20 analysts)
Bull Case
The trailing P/E of 8.5x means you're paying a very low multiple for a national brand if earnings stabilize.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E of 11.0x holds and earnings drop -22.9%, the stock could see further downside as the valuation multiple rises while profits shrink.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings updates—any sign that EPS declines are moderating could shift sentiment.