MAR Stock Analysis — Marriott International
Sector: Hospitality
AI Verdict
You're paying up for Marriott at 31.5x forward earnings—well above sector norms—but the loyalty moat and fee-based model make the growth expectation more credible than most in hospitality.
Competitive Moat
Marriott operates the world’s largest hotel portfolio with powerful loyalty programs and long-term franchise agreements that lock in recurring fee streams. Its scale enables negotiating leverage with property owners and travel platforms, making it hard for smaller players to compete on distribution and brand recognition.
Summary
Marriott's 18.7 RSI signals extreme oversold territory despite a 33.18% gain over the past year.
Where It Stands
Marriott trades at 31.5x next year's earnings—well above the consumer sector median of 20x—while analysts expect 24.4% EPS growth and the stock sits at an RSI of 18.7, indicating a technical oversold setup.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 18.7 — Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 39.1x
- Forward P/E: 31.5x
- PEG Ratio: 1.61
- Earnings Growth: +0.2%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Market Cap: $98.3B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: 33.18%
- 52-Week High: $410.98
- 52-Week Low: $253.76
Analyst Consensus
15 Buy · 15 Hold · 1 Sell (31 analysts)
Bull Case
With forward EPS growth of 24.4% against a 31.5x forward P/E, you're paying a fair premium for a global brand with recurring revenue streams and a 33.18% one-year return backing momentum.
Bear Case
If the P/E reverts to the sector median of 20x, the stock would face a 36% valuation haircut from current forward multiples, and the 18.7 RSI suggests recent buyers could be underwater if the bounce doesn't materialize.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings and guidance—if EPS growth meets or beats the 24.4% consensus, the premium could hold; a miss would likely trigger further multiple compression.