MO Stock Analysis — Altria Group
Sector: Consumer Staples
AI Verdict
Altria is cheap for the growth you’re getting, but the moat’s durability depends on Marlboro’s pricing power holding up as U.S. smoking rates keep falling.
Competitive Moat
Altria dominates the U.S. tobacco market through Marlboro’s brand power and a regulatory environment that makes it nearly impossible for new competitors to enter. Its pricing power and entrenched distribution network protect profits even as cigarette volumes decline.
Summary
Altria trades at just 11.7x forward earnings with analysts expecting a 23.3% jump in EPS next year.
Where It Stands
With a 1-year return of 2.14%, an RSI of 63.1 (near the elevated zone), and a forward P/E of 11.7x versus the consumer staples median of 20x, the stock looks cheap for its sector.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 63.1 — Near Overbought
- Trailing P/E: 14.5x
- Forward P/E: 11.7x
- PEG Ratio: 0.65
- Earnings Growth: +0.2%
- Revenue Growth: -0.0%
- Market Cap: $114.6B
- Dividend Yield: 0.09%
- 1-Year Return: 2.14%
- 52-Week High: $77.06
- 52-Week Low: $54.70
Analyst Consensus
12 Buy · 9 Hold · 3 Sell (24 analysts)
Bull Case
Forward EPS growth of 23.3% paired with an 11.7x forward P/E means you’re paying a low price for double-digit earnings expansion.
Bear Case
If the P/E reverts to the sector median of 20x only because of a one-off earnings bump, the current 63.1 RSI suggests limited near-term upside and risk of a pullback.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for FDA regulatory decisions or shifts in cigarette volume trends, as either could materially change the earnings trajectory.