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POOL Stock Analysis — Pool Corporation

Sector: Industrials

AI Verdict

POOL trades at 19.5x next year's earnings while analysts expect earnings to shrink, so you're paying a premium the numbers don't yet support despite its distribution moat.

Competitive Moat

Pool Corp is the dominant distributor of pool supplies and equipment in North America, leveraging its vast logistics network and exclusive supplier relationships to keep competitors at bay. Its scale enables superior inventory availability and pricing power in a fragmented market.

Summary

POOL stands out for its national distribution network, which keeps it the go-to supplier for pool builders and service companies.

Where It Stands

POOL is down -28.68% over the past year, trades at 19.5x forward earnings versus the industrials median of 20x, and its RSI of 46.9 signals cooling after a prolonged slump.

Key Metrics

Analyst Consensus

11 Buy · 11 Hold · 1 Sell (23 analysts)

Bull Case

POOL trades at a small discount to the sector's 20x forward P/E, so any rebound in demand could rerate the stock quickly.

Bear Case

With forward EPS expected to shrink -1.1% and a PEG ratio of 11.47, even its current P/E looks expensive for a business with no near-term growth.

Catalyst to Watch

Watch for quarterly earnings updates on pool construction activity—any sign of demand stabilization or rebound could shift the growth outlook.

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