RSG Stock Analysis — Republic Services
Sector: Industrials
AI Verdict
You're paying up for Republic's moat and growth story at 27.4x forward earnings—well above the industrials median—so any stumble in execution or sector rerating could hit the stock hard.
Competitive Moat
Republic Services operates in the waste management industry, where local landfill ownership and long-term municipal contracts create high barriers to entry. Its dense route network and regulatory permits make it difficult for new competitors to scale or displace incumbents.
Summary
Republic Services trades at 27.4x next year's earnings, with a 16.7% EPS growth forecast and an RSI of 69.1 signaling elevated momentum.
Where It Stands
The stock has delivered a -7.04% return over the past year, trades at 27.4x forward earnings versus the industrials median of 20x, and its RSI of 69.1 suggests pullback risk.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 69.1 — Near Overbought
- Trailing P/E: 31.9x
- Forward P/E: 27.4x
- PEG Ratio: 1.91
- Earnings Growth: +0.2%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Market Cap: $68.4B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: -7.04%
- 52-Week High: $246.25
- 52-Week Low: $196.41
Analyst Consensus
19 Buy · 14 Hold · 0 Sell (33 analysts)
Bull Case
A 16.7% forward EPS growth rate justifies some premium to the sector, and the 27.4x forward P/E is reasonable if Republic delivers on that growth.
Bear Case
If the P/E compresses to the sector median of 20x, the stock would lose roughly 27% from current valuation levels, especially with an RSI of 69.1 pointing to short-term overbought conditions.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings surprises or new municipal contract wins that could accelerate the 16.7% EPS growth outlook.