STAG Stock Analysis — STAG Industrial
Sector: REITs
AI Verdict
STAG trades at 37.1x next year's earnings despite shrinking profits, so you're paying a premium the numbers don't yet support unless their secondary-market moat delivers a surprise turnaround.
Competitive Moat
STAG Industrial owns and operates a diversified portfolio of single-tenant industrial properties, with a focus on secondary markets where competition is less intense and tenant relationships are sticky. Their scale in this niche gives them bargaining power and operational efficiency that smaller landlords can't match.
Summary
STAG stands out for its focus on single-tenant industrial properties in overlooked markets, offering exposure to logistics real estate.
Where It Stands
STAG trades at 37.1x next year's earnings, far above the REIT sector norm, while analysts expect EPS to drop by 26.5%.
Key Metrics
- Trailing P/E: 27.2x
- Forward P/E: 37.1x
- Earnings Growth: -0.3%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Dividend Yield: 0.04%
- 52-Week High: $39.99
- 52-Week Low: $33.19
Analyst Consensus
8 Buy · 8 Hold · 1 Sell (17 analysts)
Bull Case
Trailing revenue growth of 10.1% shows the portfolio is expanding faster than many peers.
Bear Case
With a forward P/E of 37.1x and expected EPS contraction of 26.5%, even a modest P/E reset to the REIT median could mean a 40%+ valuation hit.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings updates—if EPS stabilizes or beats the -26.5% expectation, the valuation premium could hold.