STZ Stock Analysis — Constellation Brands
Sector: Consumer Staples
AI Verdict
STZ is cheap for the growth on offer at 12.0x forward earnings, but the moat around its beer brands needs to show up in numbers soon or the discount could persist.
Competitive Moat
Constellation Brands owns exclusive U.S. rights to top imported beer brands like Corona and Modelo, giving it pricing power and shelf space leverage in a consolidated distribution network. Its scale and brand portfolio make it hard for new entrants to displace its products from retailers and bars.
Summary
RSI at 30.1 signals oversold territory after a -20.20% one-year return and shrinking sales.
Where It Stands
STZ trades at 12.0x forward earnings, well below the consumer staples sector median of 20x, with an RSI of 30.1 and a -20.20% one-year return.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 30.1 — Near Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 12.5x
- Forward P/E: 12.0x
- PEG Ratio: 1.87
- Earnings Growth: +0.0%
- Revenue Growth: -0.1%
- Market Cap: $22.4B
- Dividend Yield: 0.03%
- 1-Year Return: -20.20%
- 52-Week High: $178.14
- 52-Week Low: $126.45
Analyst Consensus
17 Buy · 9 Hold · 2 Sell (28 analysts)
Bull Case
You're paying just 12.0x next year's earnings for a company with an entrenched beer portfolio, and analysts still expect 4.7% EPS growth.
Bear Case
If the P/E multiple drops from 12.0x to 10x on weak sentiment, the stock could lose another 17% even before factoring in the -10.0% revenue decline.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings updates—any stabilization or rebound in revenue could spark a re-rating from these depressed multiples.