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TEX Stock Analysis — Terex Corporation

Sector: Industrials

AI Verdict

Terex trades at 12.1x next year's earnings with a 164.2% EPS growth forecast—this is cheap for the growth on offer if its niche machinery moat holds, but any stumble will erase the valuation gap quickly.

Competitive Moat

Terex manufactures aerial work platforms and materials processing equipment, with a defensible position in niche construction and industrial machinery segments. Its moat comes from specialized engineering, established dealer relationships, and a broad installed base that creates recurring parts and service revenue.

Summary

Terex is notable for a forecasted 164.2% jump in earnings, which is rare in the industrials sector.

Where It Stands

Terex delivered 17.0% revenue growth last year and trades at 12.1x forward earnings, well below the industrials median of 20x, with a trailing P/E of 32.0x reflecting a sharp expected earnings ramp.

Key Metrics

Analyst Consensus

11 Buy · 6 Hold · 1 Sell (18 analysts)

Bull Case

Forward EPS growth of 164.2% justifies the low 12.1x forward P/E, making the stock cheap for the explosive earnings growth analysts expect.

Bear Case

If the P/E reverts from 32.0x trailing to the sector median of 20x without the forecasted EPS surge materializing, the stock could see a 37% valuation drop.

Catalyst to Watch

Watch for quarterly earnings beats or misses, as any deviation from the 164.2% EPS growth consensus will immediately reset valuation expectations.

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