TKO Stock Analysis — TKO Group Holdings
Sector: Media & Entertainment
AI Verdict
TKO trades at 39.6x next year’s earnings with nearly 70% EPS growth expected—this is cheap for the growth you’re getting if the UFC and WWE brands keep their grip on fans and media partners.
Competitive Moat
TKO Group Holdings owns the UFC and WWE, giving it exclusive control over two of the world's most valuable combat sports entertainment brands. This moat is built on irreplaceable intellectual property, global fan loyalty, and long-term media rights deals that lock in distribution power.
Summary
The stock's RSI of 16.4 signals extreme oversold territory, making it a technical outlier among large entertainment equities.
Where It Stands
TKO is up 8.40% over the past year, trades at 39.6x forward earnings (well above the media sector's typical 20–25x), and its RSI of 16.4 is far below the oversold threshold of 35.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 16.4 — Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 67.2x
- Forward P/E: 39.6x
- PEG Ratio: 0.97
- Earnings Growth: +0.7%
- Revenue Growth: +0.1%
- Market Cap: $35.4B
- Dividend Yield: 0.02%
- 1-Year Return: 8.40%
- 52-Week High: $226.94
- 52-Week Low: $152.29
Analyst Consensus
20 Buy · 7 Hold · 0 Sell (27 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts expecting 69.8% EPS growth next year and a forward P/E of 39.6x, you’re paying a premium that’s actually cheap for the explosive earnings growth projected if the UFC/WWE content engine keeps delivering.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E reverts even halfway toward a 25x sector median, the stock could see a 37% valuation drop unless earnings growth materializes exactly as forecast.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for the next round of media rights negotiations—if TKO secures higher distribution fees or new streaming deals, it could justify the high multiple.