TKO Stock Analysis — TKO Group Holdings
Sector: Media & Entertainment
AI Verdict
TKO trades at 37.8x next year's earnings with 116.1% EPS growth expected, making it cheap for the growth on offer if their UFC and WWE content moat holds up, but any stumble in media rights could see the premium evaporate quickly.
Competitive Moat
TKO owns the UFC and WWE franchises, controlling exclusive live combat sports content with global fan bases and lucrative broadcast rights. Their moat is built on irreplaceable intellectual property and long-term media deals that competitors cannot easily replicate.
Summary
TKO's stock is notable for its rare combination of exclusive sports IP and a forward EPS growth forecast of 116.1%.
Where It Stands
The stock is deeply oversold with an RSI of 23.4, has delivered a 15.00% return over the past year, and trades at 37.8x forward earnings—well above the media sector median but with explosive growth expected.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 23.4 — Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 81.8x
- Forward P/E: 37.8x
- PEG Ratio: 0.70
- Earnings Growth: +1.2%
- Revenue Growth: +0.2%
- Market Cap: $35.3B
- Dividend Yield: 0.01%
- 1-Year Return: 15.00%
- 52-Week High: $226.94
- 52-Week Low: $151.07
Analyst Consensus
20 Buy · 8 Hold · 0 Sell (28 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts forecasting 116.1% EPS growth next year, the 37.8x forward P/E is cheap for the kind of earnings acceleration rarely seen in this sector.
Bear Case
If the P/E reverts to a more typical 20x for the sector, the stock could lose nearly half its value from here, especially with an RSI this low signaling potential for a dead-cat bounce rather than a true reversal.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for upcoming broadcast rights renewals or new international deals—if these disappoint, the growth narrative could unravel fast.