TXN Stock Analysis — Texas Instruments
Sector: Semiconductors
AI Verdict
You're paying a premium for a big earnings rebound, but the analog chip moat means the growth expectation is more credible than most in semis.
Competitive Moat
Texas Instruments dominates the analog semiconductor market, supplying essential chips for industrial, automotive, and embedded applications where switching costs and decades-long customer relationships create stickiness. Its proprietary manufacturing processes and vast catalog of legacy analog designs make it hard for new entrants to replicate its breadth or reliability.
Summary
A 40.4% forward EPS growth forecast is driving attention as TXN transitions from trailing P/E of 41.4x to a forward multiple of 29.5x.
Where It Stands
Shares are up 38.94% over the past year with an RSI of 50.6 (neutral), trading at 29.5x next year's earnings versus the sector median of 25x.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 50.6 — Neutral
- Trailing P/E: 41.4x
- Forward P/E: 29.5x
- PEG Ratio: 0.94
- Earnings Growth: +0.4%
- Revenue Growth: +0.2%
- Market Cap: $248.6B
- Dividend Yield: 0.03%
- 1-Year Return: 38.94%
- 52-Week High: $334.03
- 52-Week Low: $152.73
Analyst Consensus
20 Buy · 20 Hold · 3 Sell (43 analysts)
Bull Case
With analysts expecting 40.4% EPS growth and a forward P/E of 29.5x, you're paying a fair price for robust earnings momentum if TXN's analog moat holds.
Bear Case
If the forward P/E compresses to the sector median of 25x, the stock would see a roughly 15% valuation drop even if earnings meet expectations.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly updates on industrial and automotive chip demand—any sign of order slowdown could challenge the 40.4% EPS growth outlook.