UGI Stock Analysis — UGI Corporation
Sector: Utilities
AI Verdict
UGI trades at a cheap 10.6x next year's earnings, but with earnings expected to shrink and no structural growth lever, the discount is warranted unless the regulatory environment improves.
Competitive Moat
UGI operates regulated gas and electric utilities and propane distribution, giving it stable cash flows due to local monopolies and regulatory barriers. Its defensibility comes from high infrastructure costs and strict regulation that limit new entrants.
Summary
UGI stands out for its unusually low 10.6x forward P/E in a sector where stability is prized.
Where It Stands
UGI trades at 10.6x forward earnings, well below the utilities sector median of 18x, but with analyst consensus calling for -3.4% EPS growth next year.
Key Metrics
- Trailing P/E: 10.2x
- Forward P/E: 10.6x
- Earnings Growth: -0.0%
- Revenue Growth: +0.0%
- Dividend Yield: 0.05%
- 52-Week High: $41.34
- 52-Week Low: $31.62
Analyst Consensus
4 Buy · 2 Hold · 0 Sell (6 analysts)
Bull Case
The 10.6x forward P/E is a deep discount versus the sector median, which could attract value-focused investors despite muted growth.
Bear Case
With forward EPS expected to shrink by -3.4%, a sector-median P/E would require a 70% rerating that negative growth does not justify.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for regulatory rate case outcomes or cost-cutting updates that could flip EPS growth positive.