WY Stock Analysis — Weyerhaeuser
Sector: Real Estate/Timber REIT
AI Verdict
Weyerhaeuser trades at 58.4x next year's earnings despite analysts expecting a -26.2% EPS drop, so you're paying a premium the numbers don't yet support even with the moat of irreplaceable timberland.
Competitive Moat
Weyerhaeuser owns and manages millions of acres of timberland, giving it a hard-to-replicate asset base and control over a critical supply chain input for wood products. Its scale and land ownership create barriers to entry, as new competitors cannot easily acquire comparable timber resources.
Summary
Weyerhaeuser's stock is oversold with a 32.0 RSI after a -8.21% 1-year return, as earnings expectations have sharply deteriorated.
Where It Stands
With a 32.0 RSI, Weyerhaeuser is technically oversold, but its 58.4x forward P/E is nearly triple the 20x sector median for industrials, while analysts expect -26.2% EPS growth next year.
Key Metrics
- RSI: 32 — Near Oversold
- Trailing P/E: 43.1x
- Forward P/E: 58.4x
- Earnings Growth: -0.3%
- Revenue Growth: -0.0%
- Market Cap: $17.1B
- Dividend Yield: 0.03%
- 1-Year Return: -8.21%
- 52-Week High: $27.86
- 52-Week Low: $21.16
Analyst Consensus
16 Buy · 5 Hold · 1 Sell (22 analysts)
Bull Case
The 32.0 RSI and -8.21% 1-year return suggest pessimism may be overdone if timberland values stabilize or rebound.
Bear Case
If the 58.4x forward P/E compresses to the 20x sector median, the stock could lose over 65% from here even before factoring in the -26.2% EPS decline.
Catalyst to Watch
Watch for quarterly earnings or timber price updates—any sign of stabilizing or improving EPS could justify a partial re-rating.